Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

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YES if the Nasdaq stock screener's first reading observed at or after 15:00 UTC on Wednesday, September 2, 2026 lists Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company among ranks #1–#5 by market capitalization, otherwise NO. If the screener does not report a numeric market-cap value for Taiwan Semiconductor at that reading (for example due to delisting or a temporary omission), the market resolves NO. The Nasdaq screener's displayed ordering is authoritative, and identical reporting by major reputable financial outlets is also acceptable.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against nasdaq.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 25%, based on 55 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledTaiwan Semiconductor won't crack the top 5. They're currently at #6 and would need a significant jump of over 29% to overtake Amazon, which is unlikely in just a few days.

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13%
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21%
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77%
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26%
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