Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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34%
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YES if the official Stage 2 finishing classification published after the stage lists Tadej Pogacar as the stage winner according to the race organiser's official La Vuelta stage results, and corroborated by the UCI or major wire services. If Pogacar does not start, abandons before the finish, is disqualified, or the organisers declare no winner for Stage 2, the market resolves NO. A photo-finish or any timing/tie-break the organisers use to name a single winner counts as a published winner.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 34%, based on 41 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledPogacar is likely to win this stage given his form and current standings. If he starts, he has a strong chance to take the victory, barring any mishaps.

94%
Stable · last 24h

87%
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59%
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38%
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29%
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66%
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