Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the race organiser's official Stage 1 general classification (Monaco 9.4 km individual time trial) on August 22, 2026 lists Tadej Pogačar in first place as the GC leader (red jersey), otherwise NO. If the organiser cancels or neutralises Stage 1 or explicitly states no official GC/leader will be awarded for Stage 1, the market resolves NO. If the official standings show a tie for first, Pogačar counts only if he is listed first in the organiser's official GC (La Vuelta / Unipublic).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 33 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledPogačar is likely to wear the red jersey after this time trial. He's one of the favorites and should perform exceptionally well over 9.4 km, barring any mishaps.

94%
Stable · last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h

34%
Stable · last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h
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