Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

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YES if on August 7, 2026 (local Spain date, between 00:00 and 23:59:59 CEST) there is at least one post-event report from an official source saying hail actually fell during strong thunderstorms in one or more Spanish provinces on the Iberian Peninsula (excluding the Canary and Balearic Islands, Ceuta and Melilla). Official sources include AEMET, Protección Civil, the relevant regional government, or a major Spanish news agency that cites such an official source. Forecast-only advisories or uncorroborated social media posts do not count; otherwise resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledLooking at the forecasts and the high potential for storms today, I'd say it's likely we'll see some hail reported from at least one province. Keep an eye on the news for updates.

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