Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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44%
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YES if Stephen Parez is recorded as having taken the field (started or been substituted on and played at least one minute) in any official match that is part of the Supersevens first-stage event in Biarritz on August 21, 2026. Resolution will use the Supersevens organisers' official team sheets or match reports, or match statistics/reports from major sports outlets such as L'Équipe, Reuters or AFP. If he is only listed as an unused substitute, or if the Biarritz stage is cancelled or moved off August 21, 2026, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 4 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledParez is likely to play at least a minute in Biarritz. With the match just a day away, the chances are solid since teams usually can't afford to leave players like him on the bench.

94%
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44%
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59%
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84%
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74%
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76%
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