Will Sophie Adenot complete two separate spacewalks on this ISS mission?

🤖 Context

YES if NASA or ESA mission status or EVA reports, official agency bulletins, or contemporaneous reporting list two separate EVAs during which Sophie Adenot exited the ISS airlock and later re‑entered, with the second EVA completed no later than August 28, 2026. Otherwise NO. If NASA or ESA do not provide a clear statement, the majority of reputable wire services will be used to decide.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against numerama.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 79%, based on 38 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

79%

Predictions made

38

Credits staked

1,297

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 21, 2026

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 29, 2026

Resolution source

numerama.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 29, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 79% and NO 21%, based on 38 predictions and 1.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against numerama.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Sophie Adenot complete two separate spacewalks on this ISS mission?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Sophie Adenot complete two separate spacewalks on this ISS mission?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.