Will Sophie Adenot be listed as an active ISS crew member?

🤖 Context

YES if, at the exact instant 00:00 CEST (UTC+2) on October 1, 2026, Sophie Adenot is publicly listed as an active crew member aboard the International Space Station in official mission or crew rosters or in contemporaneous official press statements. Acceptable sources include NASA's 'People on the ISS' or Expedition pages, ESA mission pages, press releases from NASA/ESA/SpaceX, or reporting from major news agencies such as Reuters, AP, or AFP. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against numerama.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 25 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

25

Credits staked

594

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 1, 2026

Closes

Sep 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 1, 2026

Resolution source

numerama.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 61% and NO 39%, based on 25 predictions and 594 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against numerama.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Sophie Adenot be listed as an active ISS crew member?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Sophie Adenot be listed as an active ISS crew member?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.