Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

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YES if, at the instant 11:59:59 PM CEST on August 31, 2026, official mission rosters or 'People on Station' lists (for example NASA 'People on Station' or ESA crew-status pages) list Sophie Adenot as present aboard the International Space Station, or if major wire services contemporaneously report her as aboard. NO if official agency records or authoritative mission statements show she had departed the station or landed on Earth before that instant.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledSophie Adenot getting on the ISS is likely. With three weeks left, the mission's solid stance on crew assignments suggests she'll be there on August 31.

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