Will at least 21,743 bets be placed on Clutch on August 14?

54%
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82%
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YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 15 shows the cumulative delay hours across SNCF trains that were at least 5 minutes late since local midnight, counting each train once using its latest reported delay, is at least 166.0 hours. An archived total equal to 166.0 hours resolves YES, any archived total less than 166.0 hours resolves NO. Resolution is based on Clutch's archived total, derived from the public 'Horaires SNCF' dataset on data.gouv.fr or equivalent public aggregations.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 82%, based on 85 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledYes, SNCF will hit 192 hours. With 192.3 cumulative hours already logged today, and over 28 hours left, it's likely they’ll exceed that tomorrow.

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20%
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