Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

63%
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66%
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YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on August 30, 2026 shows at least 375 distinct SNCF trains had a latest reported numeric delay of 5 minutes or more between local midnight and the end of that day. Distinct trains are counted once using their latest numeric delay reported during the day, and cancellations or entries without a numeric delay do not count. The resolver will use Clutch's finalized archived total, preferably computed from SNCF's official open-data feed (the "horaires-sncf" dataset on transport.data.gouv.fr).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 50 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith 391 trains already reported late today, hitting 375 tomorrow seems like a safe bet. Expect more delays as the day progresses.

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41%
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54%
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55%
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28%
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94%
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