OtherOpened Jul 27 · Results Jul 28

Will SNCF have at least 121 hours of total train delay since midnight by the end of Tuesday, July 28?

65%

Stable · last 24h

📊 571 bettors💎 16.7K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Jul 28

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total, computed from SNCF's official real-time open-data feed (dataset 'horaires-sncf' on data.gouv.fr), shows the cumulative train delay from local midnight through the target is at least 121.0 hours. Only SNCF trains whose latest reported delay during the local calendar day is 5 minutes or more are included, each train counted once using its latest reported delay. Otherwise NO.

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How this market resolved

Yes

65%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived cumulative train delay from local midnight through the target local calendar day (July 28, 2026) is >= 121.0 hours; only SNCF trains with latest reported delay >= 5 minutes are included and each train is counted once using its latest reported delay. Target window: local calendar day ending 2026-07-28 (Clutch finalized daily total). Observed decisive data (from the supplied Clutch finalized daily history): 181.1 cumulative delay hours since local midnight across 733 trains, covering the local calendar day ending 2026-07-28 21:59 UTC; daily total finalized by Clutch at 2026-07-28 22:00 UTC. Comparison: 181.1 hours >= 121.0 hours, so the condition is met. Decisive evidence is the finalized daily total for 2026-07-28.

Source: clutch.vip