Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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72%
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YES if the official match records or official match report for the South Africa v New Zealand test on 22 August 2026 record Siya Kolisi as having entered the field and being credited with playing time in that match. Resolution will rely on the official match sheet or substitution list published by SA Rugby or World Rugby. If Kolisi was named on a team sheet but the match was abandoned before he entered and no appearance was recorded, the market resolves NO, and any later official amendment to the appearance records by the organiser will determine the outcome.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 17 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledKolisi's inclusion seems likely given the proximity of the match and his fitness. Unless there's a last-minute issue, he should be on the field for South Africa.

94%
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83%
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63%
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23%
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61%
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93%
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