Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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YES if, in the official race classification for the first FIA Formula One World Championship race that takes place after the 2026 Italian Grand Prix (Monza), Sergio 'Checo' Pérez is classified in positions 1 through 10 inclusive. Otherwise NO. The market uses the final official classification published by the FIA and/or Formula1.com, which governs the outcome if Pérez is provisionally classified then later excluded, and if that next race is declared a no-result with no official classification the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 7 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledPérez's form this season has been solid, and with the right strategy, finishing in the top 10 is quite likely. Just avoid any mishaps during the race.

78%
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50%
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50%
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93%
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36%
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75%
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