Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Sergio Pérez is classified in positions 1 to 10 in the official FIA classification for the Formula 1 Grand Prix (main race) at Zandvoort on 23 August 2026, otherwise NO. Outcome will be determined according to the official FIA Grand Prix classification and the result published on Formula1.com, corroborated by major outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 7 predictions.
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