Will Mercedes finish 1–2 at the Spanish Grand Prix in Madrid?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 11YES if Tennis Canada publishes on its official website an official press release or an updated player list that explicitly names Serena Williams as a main-draw wildcard for the Toronto WTA 1000 on or before August 10, 2026 at 23:59 Eastern Time. A published statement on the tournament's official website (National Bank Open) or on the WTA tournament page also counts as YES. If Serena appears in the official main draw only as a direct acceptance or by protected ranking, or if the only mentions are social media posts without an official site announcement, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled40%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news sources and the tournament’s communications show the National Bank Open/Toronto main-draw wildcards were awarded to other players and that Serena Williams was not among them. Tennishead (2026-07-27) explicitly reports the final eight main-draw wildcards (listing Venus Williams, Bianca Andreescu, Cadence Brace, Kayla Cross, Rebecca Marino, Katherine Sebov, Carol Zhao and Ariana Arseneault) and states this confirms Serena is not on the wildcard list. The official National Bank Open site also highlights Venus as a singles wildcard, and the Canadian Press (Aug 2, 2026) reports Venus playing in Toronto as a wildcard. None of the supplied evidence shows Serena being named a main-draw wildcard for the Toronto WTA 1000 by 2026-08-10 23:59 ET. (Separately, multiple sources show Serena accepted a doubles wildcard in Cincinnati, but that is a different event.)
Source: tennishead.netSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWhat is a wildcard?
Not always
No
no way they'll give her a wildcard. they can't just let the legend glide in, can they? 😂

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