Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

68%
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55%
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YES if no later than October 31, 2026, Enrique Inzunza Cázarez has submitted a formal, dated 'licencia' (temporary leave) request that is recorded or publicly posted by the Senate of the Republic, or that is publicly announced by the senator and corroborated by the Senate. Examples of acceptable sources include the Senate registry, a Senate press release, or a Diario de los Debates entry. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeframe and the clear requirements for formal submission, I lean towards a YES. Inzunza Cázarez is likely to secure his temporary licencia before the deadline.

68%
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50%
Stable · last 24h

48%
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30%
Stable · last 24h

61%
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49%
Stable · last 24h
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