Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

89%
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55%
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YES if Samsung publicly announces one or more new devices whose official marketed product name as used by Samsung includes the substring "Galaxy S26" or "S26" (case-insensitive), no later than August 27, 2026, either during its public event on that date or in an official Samsung press release or product page published on that date. Resolution relies on Samsung's official materials (Samsung Newsroom, official product pages, or the event livestream), and independent mainstream reporting that directly quotes Samsung's official naming also suffices, and if Samsung cancels the event and publishes no announcement on August 27, 2026 the market resolves NO. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 32 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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89%
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80%
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28%
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18%
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62%
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62%
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