⚽Sports·FootballCloses Oct 27 · Results Oct 28
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
29%
+1% last 24h
7480 bets · 345.1K credits175
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SportsOpened Aug 7 · Results Aug 21
Will Rodri become a Real Madrid player?
10%
Stable · last 24h
📊 270 bettors💎 9.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 21🤖 Context
The market required that by 20 August 2026 at 23:59 UTC+02:00 Real Madrid must publicly announce Rodri has signed for them or he must appear on official LaLiga or other competition registration lists. Instead, FC Barcelona publicly announced and presented Rodrigo Hernández Cascante on 18 August 2026, reporting a contract through 30 June 2030, and multiple independent outlets confirmed the move. Because there was no Real Madrid announcement or official registration by the deadline and Rodri became a Barcelona player before the cutoff, the market resolves no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No10%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied evidence shows Rodrigo Hernández (Rodri) signed for FC Barcelona on 18 August 2026. FC Barcelona's official announcement and multiple independent outlets (Reuters, The Guardian, AP/News4jax) report that Barcelona and Manchester City reached an agreement and Rodri committed to Barça (contract until 30 June 2030) and was presented. None of the provided sources show he signed for or was registered as a Real Madrid player by the market cutoff (2026-08-20 23:59 UTC+02:00); several sources explicitly describe Real Madrid interest but say the player completed the move to Barcelona. Because the decisive, corroborated evidence shows he became a Barcelona player on 2026-08-18 (before the deadline) the condition of becoming a Real Madrid player was not met by the cutoff.
Source: fcbarcelona.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 10%
- Predictions made
- 270
- Credits staked
- 9,337
- Comments
- 6
- Opened
- Aug 7, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 20, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 21, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- fcbarcelona.com, reuters.com, theguardian.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 6 comments
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