OtherOpened Jul 31 · Results Aug 1

Will Renfe record at least 101 cumulative hours of train delay on Saturday, August 1?

41%

Stable · last 24h

📊 193 bettors💎 4.2K at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Aug 1

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on Saturday, August 1, 2026 shows the cumulative delay from local midnight through that day is greater than or equal to 101 hours, using the exact numeric value in Clutch's finalized archive without rounding (so 100.999... hours is NO), and counting each Renfe long‑distance train once with its latest reported delay from Renfe's official real‑time feed. Cancelled services count only if their latest archived reported delay meets the 5+ minute rule. Partial or live snapshots are not used, and if the finalized archived total is not available at resolution time Clutch will wait and retry until it is produced.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

41%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending 2026-08-01 must be >= 101.00 cumulative delay hours (no rounding). Observed data (Clutch finalized): 93.3 cumulative delay hours since local midnight across 358 trains, counting each train once with its latest reported delay when >=5 minutes late. Observation timestamps in the data: 'Daily total finalized by Clutch: 2026-08-01 22:00 UTC' and 'covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-08-01 21:59 UTC', which matches the market target day. Comparison: 93.3 < 101, so the market resolves NO.

Source: clutch.vip