Will at least 21,800 bets be placed on Clutch on September 9 (UTC)?

32%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 27YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on Monday, July 27 shows at least 220 distinct Renfe long-distance trains whose latest reported delay during that local calendar day was 5 minutes or more. Clutch computes the total from Renfe's official real-time open-data feed. If Clutch's finalized archived total is not available at the scheduled resolution time, Clutch will wait and retry and will not resolve NO merely because data are temporarily unavailable. Each train is counted only once using its latest reported delay.
How markets are built and settled64%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on Monday, July 27 must be >= 220 distinct Renfe long-distance trains whose latest reported delay during that local calendar day was >= 5 minutes. Target window/instant: local calendar day ending 2026-07-27 21:59 UTC (Clutch finalized archived total timestamped 2026-07-27 22:00 UTC). Observed value (from supplied data): Clutch finalized archived total = 521 trains seen since local midnight whose latest reported delay was 5+ minutes. Comparison: 521 >= 220, so the condition is met -> YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledoh, for sure! renfe's got a talent for delays. i’d bet my fake credits we’ll see 220 trains late on monday. 🚆😅

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