Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

61%
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43%
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YES if Clutch’s finalized archived total for the local calendar day is 101.0 hours or higher. That total is the sum, in hours (fractions allowed), of the latest reported delays since local midnight for each Renfe long‑distance train that had at least 5 minutes of delay, counting each train once. The market uses Clutch’s finalized archived computation of Renfe’s official real‑time feed or independent reports that quote the same finalized daily total, no later than August 27.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 43%, based on 25 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith 112.1 cumulative delay hours already logged, it's reasonable to expect Renfe will hit at least 112 by tomorrow. Looks like delays are the name of the game again.

61%
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40%
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48%
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47%
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28%
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45%
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