Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Real Betis publishes an official announcement on the club website or issues an official press release, or if LaLiga's official registration lists show Troy Parrott registered to Real Betis no later than August 22, 2026. Ordinary reporting by major sports outlets such as Marca, Reuters, or AP may be used as secondary evidence. If the club only reports an agreement in principle without an official club announcement or LaLiga registration by that date, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against marca.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 77%, based on 7 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just two days left, the pressure's on for an official announcement from Real Betis. Unless they deliver, I doubt we'll see Parrott in their squad by the deadline.

94%
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50%
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50%
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72%
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60%
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27%
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