Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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52%
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YES if the official ATP or Cincinnati tournament draw/results list Quentin Halys as a competitor in the tournament's third round (i.e., he is recorded as the winner of his second-round match) by the resolution date. Advancement by walkover or an opponent's retirement counts as advancement. If Halys withdraws before his second-round match, is recorded as not advancing, or the tournament is cancelled before his second-round match is decided, the market resolves NO. Resolution follows the ATP and the Western & Southern Open (Cincinnati) official results, with ordinary news coverage acceptable as corroboration.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 4 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledHalys has a decent shot at making it to the third round if he wins his second match. With 44 hours to go, potential retirements could still shift this. Keep an eye on updates.

94%
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53%
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65%
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37%
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61%
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71%
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