Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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64%
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YES if Primož Roglič is listed on the official start list published by the race organiser (Unipublic / La Vuelta) for the 2026 Vuelta a España and is recorded as having started Stage 1. A start means he is not marked DNS and appears in the Stage 1 start/finish report, and the organiser's official documents are preferred but team announcements and major cycling media may be used for verification. If Stage 1 is cancelled and no Stage 1 start is recorded, the market will be resolved using the organiser's published start list for the first competitive stage actually run, and if the entire race is cancelled before any stage starts the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 64%, based on 16 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledConsidering the timing, I’d bet Roglič will start Stage 1. With less than a week to go, he’s likely on the official entry list as expected. Missing out seems unlikely.

94%
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83%
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60%
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68%
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43%
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50%
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