Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

77%
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52%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the top row of the Main voting-intention table on the Wikipedia page "Opinion polling for the 2027 Mexican legislative election" as it appears at 00:00 Central Time on September 13, 2026 lists the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) with a strictly greater numeric percentage than Movimiento Ciudadano (MC) in that poll row's PRI and MC columns. NO otherwise. Preferred verification sources are the pollster's published poll report or major Mexican or international news coverage; the Wikipedia table may be used as corroborating evidence.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current polling, PRI is lagging behind MC. With only two weeks left, it seems unlikely they'll surpass them by the deadline. Not betting on this one.

77%
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43%
Stable · last 24h

33%
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35%
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74%
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28%
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