Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?

14%
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72%
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Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Aug 17YES if two or more independent, authoritative news outlets report that Pedro Sánchez presided over a videoconference coordination meeting on August 17, 2026 whose subject was the situation in Ceuta. If the meeting was formally cancelled before it began, resolve NO. If Sánchez attended but did not preside (another official chaired), resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 26 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThey are currently at a conference.

14%
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52%
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68%
+5% last 24h

66%
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82%
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26%
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