🎭Culture·Pop cultureCloses Sep 3 · Results Sep 7
Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?
61%
+8% last 24h
330 bets · 7K credits2
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CultureResults Sep 1
Will Paramount’s proposed $111 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. be officially blocked by California AG Rob Bonta?
46%
Stable · last 24h
📊 6 bettors💎 121 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 1🤖 Context
The market’s rule says the Attorney General of California must, before the transaction’s closing date, issue an official statement or file a legal action that blocks the deal. On July 13, 2026 the California Department of Justice issued a press release showing Attorney General Rob Bonta led a coalition of 12 state attorneys general in filing a lawsuit to block the Paramount–Warner Bros. merger, and contemporaneous news reports noted the states asked the companies not to close the transaction while the litigation proceeds. Because that filing and official statement occurred before the deal closed, the condition is met, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes46%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The California Department of Justice press release dated 2026-07-13 shows Attorney General Rob Bonta led a coalition of 12 state attorneys general in filing a lawsuit “to block” the Paramount–Warner Bros. merger. Independent news outlets (Los Angeles Times, Politico, Variety, etc.) contemporaneously reported the same legal filing on July 13, 2026, and those reports note the states asked Paramount/Warner not to close the transaction while the litigation proceeds. The suit therefore was filed (and Bonta issued an official statement about it) before the deal had closed.
Source: oag.ca.govKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 46%
- Predictions made
- 6
- Credits staked
- 121
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- May 26, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 31, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 2, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- oag.ca.gov, latimes.com, politico.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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