Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

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48%
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YES if Kalshi's market page for ticker KXTOPUSAGEAI-26AUG24-OX is marked "finalized" and Kalshi's official settlement for that ticker is YES. Otherwise it resolves NO. This follows OpenRouter's Top Models weekly usage rankings for the week of August 24, 2026, including OpenRouter's tie‑breaking procedure.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 48%, based on 75 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only five days left, I doubt Ox Alpha will finalize as the top model this week based on current Kalshi odds and the competition. It's a tight race, but others are likely to outperform it.

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49%
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41%
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44%
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