Will OpenAI's market share be above 19.0%?

🤖 Context

YES if Kalshi finalizes the exact ticker KXOPENSHARE-26SEP07-19.0 with an official outcome of YES. Kalshi bases that outcome on OpenAI's "text market share by model author" for the week of August 31, 2026 as published in OpenRouter's weekly rankings at the Monday 10:00 AM ET update. The value must be strictly greater than 19.0% to resolve YES. If OpenAI is not listed separately (for example included in "Others"), or if Kalshi finalizes the ticker with NO, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 179 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

66%

Predictions made

179

Credits staked

4,349

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 3, 2026

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 7, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 66% and NO 34%, based on 179 predictions and 4.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will OpenAI's market share be above 19.0%?” real-money betting?

No. “Will OpenAI's market share be above 19.0%?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.