Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

61%
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93%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 10YES if Olympique de Marseille's official website publishes a match report or summary by 2:00 AM on August 10, 2026 (UTC+2) showing that a friendly between Olympique de Marseille and Athletic Club de Bilbao took place on August 9, 2026 and includes a final numeric score, otherwise NO according to Olympique de Marseille's official website. If Olympique de Marseille or Athletic Club publishes an official pre-match announcement on their official websites before kickoff saying the match was postponed or cancelled, the market resolves NO. If the match started but was abandoned and no final score is posted on Olympique de Marseille's site, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled93%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied evidence shows the Marseille vs Athletic Club friendly scheduled for 2026-08-09 at the Vélodrome was played and finished with a final score. ESPN's match page for gameId 401906389 displays the fixture as full-time Marseille 3–1 Athletic Club (dated 2026-08-09). Athletic Club's official match report page for the same fixture lists lineups, substitutions and minute markers (including into stoppage time), confirming the match occurred and was completed. A full-match YouTube upload (published 2026-08-09) further corroborates that the game took place on that date. Pre-match notices in L'Équipe / Tips.gg / Yahoo identify the venue as the (Orange) Vélodrome. Taken together, the supplied sources show the friendly at the Stade Vélodrome on 2026-08-09 was played and completed with a definitive numeric final score (reported as 3–1).
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledOf course
I think so!
of course they'll play! it's marseille, they love a good friendly. just don’t expect a trophy 🏆

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