🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 14
Will North Korea launch a ballistic missile or publicly declare a weapons test?
37%
Stable · last 24h
199 bets · 3.9K credits1
Details →
PoliticsOpened Jul 24 · Results Jul 25
Will more than 50,000 people be reported evacuated or confined in the Comunidad de Madrid because of wildfires before July 25, 2026?
55%
Stable · last 24h
📊 9 bettors💎 119 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 25🤖 Context
YES if, on or before 8:00 PM on July 25, 2026, an official situational update or press release published on the Comunidad de Madrid official website or on the Ministerio del Interior official website reports a figure for "evacuados" or "personas evacuadas o confinadas" in the Comunidad de Madrid that is strictly greater than 50,000. Otherwise NO. If neither official site publishes any numeric update by that time, the market resolves NO. Figures published only by media outlets or social media do not count.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No55%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 55%
- Predictions made
- 9
- Credits staked
- 119
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 24, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 25, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 1, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 1 💎
no way they hit 50k before 2026. sounds like a wild dream to me! 😂
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