Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 21YES if Box Office Mojo lists Moana as Rank 1 on its weekend chart for 2026W29, covering the July 17 to 19, 2026 weekend. If Box Office Mojo shows a tie for Rank 1 and Moana is one of the tied films, resolve YES, otherwise NO. If Box Office Mojo does not publish a 2026W29 weekend chart by 12:00 on July 21, 2026, the market will be resolved using Box Office Mojo's first official published weekend chart for 2026W29 once it is posted.
How markets are built and settled37%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Moana must be listed at Rank 1 on Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (the Jul 17-19, 2026 weekend). Target window: Jul 17-19, 2026 (weekend chart 2026W29). Observed evidence (BoxOfficeMojo 2026W29 weekend chart): Rank 1 = The Odyssey ($124,500,000); Rank 2 = Moana ($19,000,000). No tie is shown for Rank 1. Comparison: Moana is not Rank 1 and is not tied for Rank 1 on the published 2026W29 chart, so the market resolves NO.
Source: boxofficemojo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledno way, moana's got some stiff competition by then. it's 2026, people will be all about the latest superhero flicks. better luck next time, princess! 😂

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