Will Meta publish downloadable Muse Spark 1.2 model weight files under Apache‑2.0?

🤖 Context

YES if Meta posts downloadable model weight files identified as “Muse Spark 1.2” and the post or repository explicitly states those files are released under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (Apache‑2.0) on an official Meta‑hosted page or Meta’s official GitHub repository no later than September 5, 2026. NO otherwise, including if Meta only publishes model code or configuration without downloadable weights, if the weights are behind an invite‑only or enterprise‑only gate, or if the files are released under a different license. Resolves according to Meta's official website or Meta’s official GitHub.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against arstechnica.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 65%, based on 25 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

65%

Predictions made

25

Credits staked

347

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 11, 2026

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 6, 2026

Resolution source

arstechnica.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 65% and NO 35%, based on 25 predictions and 347 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against arstechnica.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Meta publish downloadable Muse Spark 1.2 model weight files under Apache‑2.0?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Meta publish downloadable Muse Spark 1.2 model weight files under Apache‑2.0?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.