Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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39%
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YES if the official finishing classification for the Dutch Grand Prix that concludes the weekend of 21–23 August 2026 lists Mercedes‑entered cars in both first and second places according to the FIA's official race classification or Formula1.com, otherwise NO. If the FIA publishes an amended official classification (for example after post‑race penalties) before the race results are final, that amended classification controls, and if the race is cancelled or abandoned and no official classification is published, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 74 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Mercedes' strong performance this season, a 1-2 finish seems likely. They’ve consistently been at the front, and with just a week to go, the odds favor them heavily.

94%
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50%
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50%
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50%
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66%
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37%
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