Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

21%
-8% last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Maxime Lucu is listed in the official matchday 23 (starting XV or named replacements) for Union Bordeaux‑Bègles in the Top 14 match against Racing 92 played on September 5, 2026, otherwise NO. This must be shown by the official LNR/Top 14 match sheet, an official announcement from Union Bordeaux‑Bègles or Racing 92, or by post-match reports from major independent sports outlets published no later than 00:00 CEST on September 6, 2026. If the fixture is postponed but actually played within seven days of September 5, 2026, use the matchday 23 for the rescheduled fixture, and if it is not played within seven days resolve NO. Being listed as an unused replacement counts as inclusion.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 5, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 23 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledLucu's absence from the last match suggests caution; however, with a few days to go, his inclusion remains plausible. I'd say yes, he’ll likely make the cut.

21%
-8% last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h

49%
Stable · last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h

79%
Stable · last 24h
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