Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the Tag Heuer Spanish Grand Prix?

71%
+4% last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 1YES if Manchester United's official website publishes an announcement on or before 11:59 PM on August 1, 2026 (BST) naming a person as the club's new permanent "manager" or "head coach". The announcement must name the person and must not use the words interim, caretaker, temporary, or say the appointment is only until the end of the season. A club social post counts only if the same content appears on the official website within 24 hours, if multiple official website announcements name different people the first official website announcement resolves the market, and if the only club announcements describe appointments as interim/caretaker or confirm no permanent appointment the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled44%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent sources in the supplied evidence report that Manchester United have a named, non-interim head coach/manager in Michael Carrick. Squawka and Goal.com refer to Carrick taking on permanent managerial duties (Squawka: two-year permanent contract as head coach; Goal.com calls it a ‘permanent appointment’), talkSPORT (published 2026-07-31) explicitly says he signed a two-year contract in May and marks his first game as permanent manager, and the official ManUtd.com match/club pages refer to him as the club’s head coach. These corroborating, independent reports show the club appointed a named permanent head coach by the deadline.
Source: squawka.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
71%
+4% last 24h

51%
Stable · last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h
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