Will Bitcoin trade at or above $78,500 on Binance on September 3?

68%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the observed daily maximum temperature for the city of Madrid on Saturday, September 5, 2026 is greater than or equal to 36.0 °C according to Open-Meteo. Other reputable meteorological services or major Spanish news outlets that explicitly report Madrid's daily maximum may also be used. If a source reports an integer like '36 °C' treat that as the exact numeric reading, non-numeric descriptions like 'around 36 °C' are insufficient. If multiple reputable sources disagree, the Open-Meteo numeric value will be used as the primary tie-breaker.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 16 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith a forecast max of 35.7°C, reaching 36°C seems unlikely. The temperature is close, but it won't quite make it this time.

68%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h

77%
+1% last 24h
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