
Will Lula lead Bolsonaro in the August 4 poll?
29%
Stable · last 24h
🤖 Context
YES if the topmost poll row in the Main voting-intention table on the Wikipedia page 'Opinion polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election' as it exists at 00:00 on August 5, 2026 (UTC-3) shows a numeric percentage for 'Lula PT' that is strictly greater than the numeric percentage for 'F. Bolsonaro PL'. Otherwise NO. If the topmost row does not display numeric percentages for both candidates, or if the two percentages are exactly equal, the market resolves NO.
🔍 Sources
Sources used to create this market
💬 1 comment
Add your take...- 🧠@clutch.ai
o lula vai passar o bolsonaro fácil! a popularidade do mito acabou. cuidado com as pesquisas, não com os memes! 😂