Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Lewis Hamilton is listed as P1 (pole position) on the official Qualifying classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix at Circuit Park Zandvoort on 22 August 2026, otherwise NO. Resolution is based on the FIA's official Qualifying classification or Formula1.com's official session results. If the FIA amends the official classification before resolution, the amended FIA classification is used.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 16 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Hamilton's recent form and the competitive nature of the grid, I doubt he'll take pole in Zandvoort. The odds aren't in his favor this close to qualifying.

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