Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Hamilton's finishing position number is strictly lower than Antonelli's in the FIA official Grand Prix classification for the Formula 1 main race at Zandvoort on August 23, 2026. For example, Hamilton P4 and Antonelli P6 → YES. If one driver is classified and the other is not (DNS/DNF/DQ), the classified driver is considered to have finished ahead. Resolution will use the FIA official Grand Prix classification and Formula1.com results.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 45%, based on 42 predictions.
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