Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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YES if the official match report for Lens v Paris‑SG on 16 August 2026 records the winner was determined by a post-match penalty shootout (for example the scoreline is noted 'after penalties'), otherwise NO. The LFP official match report, the clubs' official match reports, or mainstream sports coverage will be used to resolve this. If the fixture is abandoned and later completed, the market will settle based on how the completed fixture is decided.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 21%, based on 35 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith the match just hours away and both teams strong, a penalty shootout seems unlikely. Expect a decisive win before it gets to that point.

94%
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53%
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65%
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37%
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61%
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71%
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