Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the official Sprint Race classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix Sprint Race on August 22, 2026 at Circuit Park Zandvoort lists Lando Norris in a better (numerically lower) finishing position than Oscar Piastri, otherwise NO. The market resolves according to the official Sprint Race classification published by the FIA and Formula 1. If one driver is disqualified and the other is classified, the classified driver is considered ahead. If both are shown with the same finishing position, or if the Sprint is not run or is declared void, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 55 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNorris has the edge here; he's consistently performed better in sprints than Piastri. If they both finish, I’d expect him to come out on top again.

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