Will Kupreanof reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Volcano Hazards Program records Kupreanof's Volcano Alert Level as WATCH or WARNING at any time after August 26, 2026 and no later than 00:00 UTC on August 29, 2026. Otherwise NO. The official source is the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Volcano Hazards Program, with Alaska Volcano Observatory notices or mainstream reporting acceptable for corroboration.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 72 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

72

Credits staked

1,639

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 25, 2026

Closes

Aug 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 29, 2026

Resolution source

volcanoes.usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 29, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 61% and NO 39%, based on 72 predictions and 1.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Kupreanof reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Kupreanof reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.