Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

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YES if the official FIA or Formula1.com post‑race drivers' standings for the 2026 season, published immediately after the Pirelli Italian Grand Prix at Monza on September 6, 2026, list Kimi Antonelli as the points leader. Otherwise NO. Verification may come from the official FIA or Formula1.com standings and major outlets such as Reuters, AP, BBC or ESPN.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 99 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledAntonelli's chances are strong, but with just five days left, it’s a tight race. Monitor his performance; if he finishes well in Monza, he could very well lead the standings.

26%
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66%
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55%
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30%
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92%
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71%
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