Will Assassin’s Creed: Black Flag Resynced have a critic "Metascore" of 80 or higher on PS5 by August 17, 2026?

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YES if No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G has strictly more than 45,000 album-equivalent units in the United States during the August 7, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week, according to Luminate Data as published in U.S. chart reporting. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current trends in streaming and album sales, I think KAROL G will surpass 45,000 album-equivalent units. She's been performing strongly and the release timing is perfect.

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49%
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45%
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27%
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78%
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72%
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