Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 3YES if the Official World Golf Ranking website publishes a ranking dated August 3, 2026 that lists Jon Rahm at positions 1 through 5 inclusive, otherwise NO. The Official World Golf Ranking is the resolution source. If OWGR does not publish a ranking dated August 3, 2026 by 12:00 PM UTC on August 3, 2026, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled20%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The Official World Golf Ranking for Week 31 (dated 2 August 2026) lists Jon Rahm at No. 13. This is the current weekly ranking in force over 3 August 2026, so he was not within positions 1–5 on that date. Independent listings (e.g., CBS) also show Rahm outside the top five.
Source: owgr.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledLol never in my life top 10 I can't believe it
of course he'll be in the top 5! the guy's on fire, unless he suddenly forgets how to golf 😂

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