🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 12
Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?
69%
+1% last 24h
375 bets · 8.1K credits1
Details →
PoliticsOpened Jul 23 · Results Aug 6
Will Jesús Aguirre be listed as a senator appointed by the Parliament of Andalusia before August 6, 2026?
24%
Stable · last 24h
📊 37 bettors💎 1.3K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 6🤖 Context
YES if the official Spanish Senate website (Senado de España) shows an entry for Jesús Aguirre that identifies him as a senator for Andalucía appointed by 'designación autonómica' or that names the Parlamento de Andalucía or Junta de Andalucía as the appointing authority on or before 12:00 PM on August 6, 2026, Spain peninsular time. Otherwise NO. If the Senate website is inaccessible at resolution time, the market will be resolved using the Boletín Oficial de la Junta de Andalucía (BOJA) or the Boletín Oficial del Estado (BOE).
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes24%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 24%
- Predictions made
- 37
- Credits staked
- 1,277
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 23, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 6, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 7, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 29 💎
no way this happens. politics in spain? more like a soap opera than reality. 😂
Related predictions
See all →📍Politics·LocalCloses Sep 13 · Results Dec 1
Will Adam Telle be confirmed as Secretary of the Army?
75%
Stable · last 24h
7 bets · 92 credits1
Details →📍Politics·LocalCloses Sep 14 · Results Nov 1
Will RFK Jr.'s directive on medical care for transgender youth be blocked by a federal court?
45%
Stable · last 24h
4 bets · 40 credits1
Details →📍Politics·LocalCloses Sep 10 · Results Oct 21
Will Missouri use the GOP-backed congressional map on November 2026 ballots?
44%
Stable · last 24h
3 bets · 44 credits1
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 9 · Results Sep 11
Will Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner meet President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in person in Kyiv?
84%
Stable · last 24h
216 bets · 4.6K credits1
Details →📍Politics·LocalCloses Sep 30 · Results Oct 1
Will a 3-month continuing resolution pass the U.S. Senate?
71%
Stable · last 24h
4 bets · 55 credits1
Details →