Will total area burned by wildfires in Europe in 2026 exceed 500,000 hectares?

88%
+2% last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the National Hurricane Center issues an operational advisory classifying Invest 92L as a tropical storm and using the name Dolly no later than 11:59 PM EDT on August 17, 2026. A classification as a tropical depression without the name Dolly before that deadline is NO. A later official NHC best-track or Tropical Cyclone Report that records the name being assigned on or before the deadline also counts as YES.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

88%
+2% last 24h

37%
Stable · last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h

47%
Stable · last 24h

27%
Stable · last 24h

27%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy