Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

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YES if, no later than August 26, 2026, FEMA or the White House publishes an official Presidential Emergency Declaration or an official Presidential Major Disaster Declaration that explicitly names the State of Indiana and cites the Aug. 11, 2026 severe storms and flooding or uses equivalent wording identifying the same incident. Announcements of federal aid that are not presidential declarations do not count, in which case the market resolves NO. If a declaration lists specific Indiana counties, it counts as YES only if the State of Indiana is explicitly included.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 64%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that Indiana experienced significant storms and flooding, it's likely the federal government will declare an emergency. There’s time left for an official declaration before the deadline.

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