Will HERNAN weaken to a tropical depression or dissipate?

🤖 Context

YES if the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) publishes an official advisory no later than 03:15 on August 14, 2026 that explicitly describes HERNAN as a tropical depression or states it has dissipated (i.e., is no longer classified as a tropical storm or stronger). Otherwise NO. If the advisory uses different wording but clearly says HERNAN is no longer a tropical cyclone, that counts as YES.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 38%, based on 4 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

38%

Predictions made

4

Credits staked

55

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 14, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 14, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 38% and NO 62%, based on 4 predictions and 55 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will HERNAN weaken to a tropical depression or dissipate?” real-money betting?

No. “Will HERNAN weaken to a tropical depression or dissipate?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.